Round recap

Week of 21 Jul — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finish. Made to be screenshotted into the group chat.

Headline model reads

3–5

All markets

12–12

Council, this round

The Oracle aged best (2/2)

Broadcast note · Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round here doesn't change that. See how this works.

Eels 18 – 24 Panthers

Model selection: Panthers (75%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Knights 22 – 23 Roosters

Model selection: Under 45.5 (total) (62%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Rabbitohs 28 – 26 Storm

Model selection: Under 45.5 (total) (58%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Raiders 56 – 10 Wests Tigers

Model selection: Under 51.5 (total) (75%) · council said VETO

Model read incorrect

Bulldogs 18 – 6 Warriors

Model selection: Warriors (59%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Cowboys 18 – 10 Broncos

Model selection: Cowboys +4.5 (line) (67%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Dragons 18 – 38 Titans

Model selection: Under 47.5 (total) (63%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Sea Eagles 12 – 48 Sharks

Model selection: Under 46.5 (total) (68%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Coin-flip of the round

Rabbitohs v Storm — the model's closest call at 58% on Under 45.5. The read was incorrect.

Past rounds

Week of 14 Jul Week of 7 Jul Week of 30 Jun Week of 23 Jun Week of 16 Jun Week of 9 Jun

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.