Round recap · 2026

Week of 11 Aug — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

4–4

All markets

10–14

Council, this round

The Oracle aged best (3/4)

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Panthers 6 – 12 Roosters

Model selection: Panthers (68%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Sea Eagles 0 – 22 Dolphins

Model selection: Under 50.5 (total) (84%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Bulldogs 6 – 22 Rabbitohs

Model selection: Under 43.5 (total) (59%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Sharks 20 – 24 Raiders

Model selection: Under 50.5 (total) (76%)

Model read correct

Eels 32 – 30 Cowboys

Model selection: Under 49.5 (total) (71%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Broncos 6 – 40 Warriors

Model selection: Broncos +7.5 (line) (61%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Knights 36 – 26 Titans

Model selection: Under 50.5 (total) (74%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Wests Tigers 22 – 24 Dragons

Model selection: Under 47.5 (total) (64%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Coin-flip of the round

Bulldogs v Rabbitohs — the model's closest call at 59% on Under 43.5. The read was correct.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.