Round recap · 2026

Week of 9 Jun — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

3–2

All markets

7–8

Council, this round

5 panel verdicts graded

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Rabbitohs 48 – 6 Broncos

Model selection: Rabbitohs (98%) · council said VETO

Model read correct

Dolphins 48 – 10 Roosters

Model selection: Dolphins (36%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Warriors 8 – 10 Sharks

Model selection: Warriors (59%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Eels 15 – 12 Raiders

Model selection: Raiders (50%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Wests Tigers 36 – 28 Titans

Model selection: Wests Tigers (63%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Coin-flip of the round

Eels v Raiders — the model's closest call at 50% on Raiders. The read was incorrect.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.