Round recap · 2026

Week of 22 Sep — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

0–2

All markets

0–6

Council, this round

2 panel verdicts graded

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Dolphins 20 – 36 Roosters

Model selection: Dolphins (62%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Panthers 14 – 22 Knights

Model selection: Panthers (78%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Coin-flip of the round

Dolphins v Roosters — the model's closest call at 62% on Dolphins. The read was incorrect.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.