Round recap · 2026

Week of 15 Sep — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

1–1

All markets

2–4

Council, this round

2 panel verdicts graded

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Roosters 46 – 10 Sharks

Model selection: Roosters (58%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Warriors 10 – 12 Knights

Model selection: Warriors (73%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Coin-flip of the round

Roosters v Sharks — the model's closest call at 58% on Roosters. The read was correct.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.