Round recap · 2026

Week of 16 Jun — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

5–2

All markets

12–9

Council, this round

3 panel verdicts graded

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Knights 22 – 20 Dragons

Model selection: Knights (70%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Wests Tigers 22 – 36 Dolphins

Model selection: Dolphins (65%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Titans 19 – 18 Panthers

Model selection: Panthers (78%) · council said AGREE

Model read incorrect

Bulldogs 13 – 12 Sea Eagles

Model selection: Sea Eagles (58%)

Model read incorrect

Warriors 38 – 20 Cowboys

Model selection: Warriors (71%)

Model read correct

Storm 42 – 20 Raiders

Model selection: Storm (69%)

Model read correct

Roosters 27 – 8 Sharks

Model selection: Roosters (61%)

Model read correct

Coin-flip of the round

Bulldogs v Sea Eagles — the model's closest call at 58% on Sea Eagles. The read was incorrect.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.