Round recap · 2026

Week of 23 Jun — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

7–1

All markets

19–5

Council, this round

3 panel verdicts graded

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Eels 12 – 32 Rabbitohs

Model selection: Rabbitohs (51%)

Model read correct

Titans 12 – 30 Bulldogs

Model selection: Bulldogs (57%)

Model read correct

Broncos 18 – 24 Roosters

Model selection: Roosters (54%)

Model read correct

Dolphins 26 – 24 Warriors

Model selection: Dolphins (57%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Cowboys 26 – 12 Panthers

Model selection: Panthers (68%)

Model read incorrect

Sea Eagles 30 – 4 Storm

Model selection: Sea Eagles (56%)

Model read correct

Raiders 24 – 16 Dragons

Model selection: Raiders (74%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Knights 12 – 6 Wests Tigers

Model selection: Knights (60%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Coin-flip of the round

Eels v Rabbitohs — the model's closest call at 51% on Rabbitohs. The read was correct.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.