Round recap · 2026

Week of 18 Aug — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

4–3

All markets

10–11

Council, this round

The Tactician aged best (2/2)

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Storm 14 – 22 Panthers

Model selection: Panthers (60%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Raiders 30 – 34 Broncos

Model selection: Under 51.5 (total) (80%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Dolphins 34 – 16 Eels

Model selection: Dolphins (75%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Knights 24 – 44 Sea Eagles

Model selection: Under 50.5 (total) (82%) · council said VETO

Model read incorrect

Rabbitohs 26 – 45 Warriors

Model selection: Under 45.5 (total) (63%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Dragons 14 – 44 Bulldogs

Model selection: Bulldogs (64%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Titans 22 – 30 Sharks

Model selection: Sharks (72%) · council said DOWNGRADE

Model read correct

Coin-flip of the round

Storm v Panthers — the model's closest call at 60% on Panthers. The read was correct.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.