Round recap · 2026

Week of 30 Jun — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

2–3

All markets

9–6

Council, this round

3 panel verdicts graded

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Panthers 36 – 14 Rabbitohs

Model selection: Panthers (79%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Dragons 24 – 10 Wests Tigers

Model selection: Wests Tigers (55%)

Model read incorrect

Broncos 16 – 28 Sharks

Model selection: Sharks (51%)

Model read correct

Eels 23 – 14 Sea Eagles

Model selection: Sea Eagles (65%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Knights 13 – 12 Dolphins

Model selection: Dolphins (57%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Coin-flip of the round

Broncos v Sharks — the model's closest call at 51% on Sharks. The read was correct.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.