Round recap · 2026

Week of 4 Aug — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

4–4

All markets

12–12

Council, this round

The Oracle aged best (2/2)

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Titans 8 – 30 Cowboys

Model selection: Under 47.5 (total) (63%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Warriors 28 – 12 Panthers

Model selection: Panthers (58%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Roosters 20 – 18 Bulldogs

Model selection: Roosters (73%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Storm 42 – 20 Sea Eagles

Model selection: Storm +2.5 (line) (67%)

Model read correct

Dolphins 40 – 32 Broncos

Model selection: Under 48.5 (total) (73%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Rabbitohs 28 – 24 Eels

Model selection: Rabbitohs (68%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Raiders 24 – 30 Knights

Model selection: Raiders (64%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Dragons 24 – 16 Sharks

Model selection: Sharks (76%) · council said AGREE

Model read incorrect

Coin-flip of the round

Warriors v Panthers — the model's closest call at 58% on Panthers. The read was incorrect.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.