Round recap · 2026

Week of 7 Jul — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

4–3

All markets

10–11

Council, this round

The Tactician aged best (3/5)

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Wests Tigers 6 – 32 Warriors

Model selection: Warriors (64%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Dolphins 0 – 66 Sharks

Model selection: Under 49.5 (total) (70%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Bulldogs 16 – 40 Raiders

Model selection: Bulldogs (59%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Roosters 28 – 12 Eels

Model selection: Roosters (76%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Rabbitohs 26 – 24 Knights

Model selection: Rabbitohs +2.5 (line) (68%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Sea Eagles 18 – 19 Cowboys

Model selection: Sea Eagles (70%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Storm 22 – 18 Titans

Model selection: Storm (78%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Coin-flip of the round

Bulldogs v Raiders — the model's closest call at 59% on Bulldogs. The read was incorrect.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.