Round recap · 2026

Week of 1 Sep — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

4–1

All markets

8–7

Council, this round

The Tactician aged best (3/3)

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Warriors 31 – 30 Sea Eagles

Model selection: Warriors (69%) · council said AGREE

Model read correct

Cowboys 30 – 50 Raiders

Model selection: Under 54.5 (total) (74%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Sharks 20 – 24 Storm

Model selection: Sharks +9.5 (line) (79%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Dragons 24 – 22 Eels

Model selection: Under 56.5 (total) (80%) · council said VETO

Model read correct

Panthers 38 – 10 Wests Tigers

Model selection: Panthers (84%) · council said AGREE

Model read correct

Coin-flip of the round

Warriors v Sea Eagles — the model's closest call at 69% on Warriors. The read was correct.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.