Round recap · 2026

Week of 8 Sep — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

4–0

All markets

9–3

Council, this round

The Oracle aged best (0/2)

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Rabbitohs 10 – 20 Knights

Model selection: Under 48.5 (total) (71%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Warriors 16 – 26 Dolphins

Model selection: Under 47.5 (total) (67%) · council said VETO

Model read correct

Sharks 26 – 16 Cowboys

Model selection: Sharks (70%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Panthers 19 – 12 Roosters

Model selection: Panthers (64%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Coin-flip of the round

Panthers v Roosters — the model's closest call at 64% on Panthers. The read was correct.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.