Round recap · 2026

Week of 28 Jul — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

5–3

All markets

17–7

Council, this round

The Tactician aged best (1/2)

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Cowboys 12 – 82 Roosters

Model selection: Under 47.5 (total) (71%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Dragons 22 – 28 Dolphins

Model selection: Dolphins (69%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Storm 22 – 36 Bulldogs

Model selection: Storm (70%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Titans 6 – 42 Warriors

Model selection: Warriors (66%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Panthers 42 – 18 Raiders

Model selection: Panthers (77%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Broncos 6 – 30 Knights

Model selection: Broncos (61%) · council said CAUTION

Model read incorrect

Sharks 32 – 16 Rabbitohs

Model selection: Under 52.5 (total) (81%) · council said VETO

Model read correct

Wests Tigers 13 – 16 Eels

Model selection: Under 49.5 (total) (68%) · council said DOWNGRADE

Model read correct

Coin-flip of the round

Broncos v Knights — the model's closest call at 61% on Broncos. The read was incorrect.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.