Round recap · 2026

Week of 29 Sep — how the model went

Every headline model read marked against the real scoreline, graded automatically when games finished.

Headline model reads

1–0

All markets

1–2

Council, this round

1 panel verdicts graded

Analysis only — not betting advice. Our honest back-test shows the model trails the closing market over the long run; a strong round doesn't change that. See how this works.

Roosters 19 – 18 Knights

Model selection: Roosters (70%) · council said CAUTION

Model read correct

Coin-flip of the round

Roosters v Knights — the model's closest call at 70% on Roosters. The read was correct.

Model estimates marked against final scores; grading is automatic at settlement. Analysis only — never betting advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly — Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.